← Eredivisie 2004-05 · Sun, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AZ win | 69% | 1.28 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.50 |
| Graafschap win | 11% | 8.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AZ | Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 863.00 | 986.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1707.05 | 1355.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.61 | 20.55 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.70 | 0.10 |
| league points | 54.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.35 | 0.75 |
| state index | 1.34 | -0.82 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |