← Eredivisie 2002-03 · Sun, May 18, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Ajax win | 84% | 1.07 |
| Draw | 11% | 9.00 |
| Graafschap win | 5% | 19.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AFC Ajax | Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 533.00 | 321.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1767.45 | 1344.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.78 | -14.64 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.10 |
| league points | 74.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.39 | 0.65 |
| state index | 2.31 | -1.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |