← Eredivisie 2002-03 · Sat, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda win | 59% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| Graafschap win | 16% | 5.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | NAC Breda | Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 980.00 | 250.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1543.20 | 1371.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.22 | -13.63 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| league points | 30.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 0.67 |
| state index | -0.27 | -1.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |