← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, May 4, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: S. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 63% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.04 |
| Preston win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −1 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Preston −1 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Liam Lindsay · Preston |
| 45' | 🟨 | Freddie Woodman · Preston |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Alex Mowatt · West Brom |
| 61' | ⚽ | Kyle Bartley · West Brom |
| 68' | ⚽ | Darnell Furlong · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 581.00 | 885.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1662.97 | 1582.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.11 | -29.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | -1.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| league points | 72.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 4.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | -1.11 |
| solidity v1 | -0.14 | -1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 29.43 | 23.10 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.42 | 1.86 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.87 |