← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Mon, Apr 29, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 54% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.21 |
| Preston win | 23% | 4.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston +1 | 59% | 1.65 |
| Leicester +1 | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | Jamie Vardy · Leicester |
| 46' | 🟨 | Alan Browne · Preston |
| 52' | ⚽ | Jamie Vardy · Leicester |
| 54' | 🟨 | Andrew Hughes · Preston |
| 62' | 🟨 | Robbie Brady · Preston |
| 67' | ⚽ | Kasey McAteer · Leicester |
| 90' | 🟨 | Duane Holmes · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 19 |
| 1 | On target | 11 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 880.00 | 303.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1593.61 | 1785.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.65 | -6.57 |
| eye test v1 | -1.15 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 63.00 | 94.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 9.11 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 2.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.52 | 1.28 |
| solidity v1 | 0.08 | 0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 23.10 | 27.34 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 0.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 1.68 |