← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 20, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
| Preston win | 22% | 4.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Preston −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Lyndon Dykes · QPR |
| 36' | 🟨 | Jack Colback · QPR |
| 58' | 🟨 | Robbie Brady · Preston |
| 68' | 🟨 | Ryan Ledson · Preston |
| 76' | 🟨 | Andrew Hughes · Preston |
| 87' | 🟨 | Lyndon Dykes · QPR |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jordan Storey · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days | 202.00 | 871.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.14 | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1524.12 | 1604.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.54 | -19.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -1.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 47.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 65.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 3.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | -1.72 |
| solidity v1 | 0.77 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 30.10 | 23.10 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 1.20 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 0.84 |