← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Tue, Apr 16, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Barrott
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 73% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.82 |
| Preston win | 10% | 10.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton −1.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Preston −1.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under | 36% | 2.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Noah Mawene · Preston |
| 19' | ⚽ | Che Adams · Southampton |
| 23' | 🟨 | Duane Holmes · Preston |
| 29' | ⚽ | Che Adams · Southampton |
| 33' | ⚽ | Stuart Armstrong · Southampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 1 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southampton | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.85 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | St. Mary's Stadium |
| coach days | 290.00 | 867.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.77 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1733.85 | 1613.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.91 | -3.31 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.82 |
| league points | 81.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 88.60 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.98 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.92 | -0.85 |
| solidity v1 | 0.47 | 1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.33 | 23.10 |
| state index | 0.54 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.55 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 0.77 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.59 | 1.27 |