← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Mon, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 44% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
| Preston win | 28% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Preston −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Will Keane · Preston |
| 68' | ⚽ | Jay Stansfield · Birmingham |
| 82' | 🟨 | Ethan Laird · Birmingham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park |
| coach days | 31.00 | 852.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1490.11 | 1623.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.67 | 27.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.84 |
| league points | 39.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 2.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | -0.55 |
| solidity v1 | -0.03 | 1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.18 | 23.10 |
| state index | -0.68 | 0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 0.86 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.25 |