← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Fri, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 64% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Rotherham win | 13% | 7.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −1 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Rotherham −1 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.81 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Duane Holmes · Preston |
| 37' | ⚽ | Emil Riis · Preston |
| 42' | ⚽ | Emil Riis · Preston |
| 44' | 🟨 | Oliver Rathbone · Rotherham |
| 68' | 🟨 | Andrew Hughes · Preston |
| 74' | 🟨 | Liam Lindsay · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jamie Lindsay · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 849.00 | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.28 |
| elo | 1616.65 | 1426.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.77 | -26.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -1.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| league points | 56.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 0.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -10.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | -0.64 |
| solidity v1 | 0.96 | -1.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 23.10 | 29.94 |
| state index | 0.51 | -1.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.93 | 1.54 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 0.82 |