← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Preston win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Plymouth −0.25 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Will Keane · Preston |
| 41' | 🟨 | Mickel Miller · Plymouth |
| 43' | ⚽ | Liam Millar · Preston |
| 63' | 🟨 | Lino Sousa · Plymouth |
| 75' | 🟨 | Alistair McCann · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 0 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 75.00 | 836.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1581.69 | 1605.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.61 | 16.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.82 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.20 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| league points | 41.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | -0.70 |
| solidity v1 | 0.29 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 23.10 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.79 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.01 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.14 | 1.04 |