← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Fri, Feb 23, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Davies
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.07 |
| Preston win | 18% | 5.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Preston −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Emil Riis · Preston |
| 20' | ⚽ | Will Keane · Preston |
| 38' | ⚽ (og) | Bobby Thomas · Preston |
| 43' | 🟨 | Benjamin Whiteman · Preston |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jordan Storey · Preston |
| 71' | 🟨 | Bobby Thomas · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ben Woodburn · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.64 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 2550.00 | 814.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.29 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1704.28 | 1595.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.41 | 39.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| league points | 51.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 6.20 | 6.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | -1.06 |
| solidity v1 | 0.57 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 23.10 |
| state index | 0.47 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.67 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.39 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 0.97 |