← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 37% | 2.71 |
| Blackburn win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Preston +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Sammie Szmodics · Blackburn |
| 23' | ⚽ | Sam Gallagher · Blackburn |
| 39' | ⚽ | Robbie Brady · Preston |
| 43' | ⚽ | Emil Riis · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 808.00 | 16.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1598.88 | 1538.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.50 | -21.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| league points | 48.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -11.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.38 | 0.30 |
| solidity v1 | -0.97 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 23.10 | 25.07 |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.74 | 1.78 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.16 |