← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Wed, Feb 14, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: T. Harrington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Preston win | 30% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Middlesbrough +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Liam Millar · Preston |
| 57' | ⚽ | Finn Azaz · Middlesbrough |
| 60' | ⚽ | Emil Riis · Preston |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jordan Storey · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alan Browne · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Riley McGree · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.55 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 805.00 | 501.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 4.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1589.37 | 1632.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.72 | -22.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 64.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| league points | 45.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.40 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.20 | 1.03 |
| solidity v1 | -0.99 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 23.10 | 25.12 |
| state index | 0.47 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.72 | 1.33 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.58 |