← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Fri, Dec 1, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| QPR win | 27% | 3.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| QPR −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Lyndon Dykes · QPR |
| 55' | ⚽ | Paul Smyth · QPR |
| 87' | ⚽ | Chris Willock · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ben Woodburn · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 730.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 4.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1583.53 | 1464.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.63 | 15.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| league points | 28.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 3.01 | 3.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 0.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.97 | -0.05 |
| solidity v1 | -0.98 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 23.10 | 28.83 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 0.78 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.86 | 0.88 |