← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Tue, Nov 28, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Kitchen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.89 |
| Preston win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Preston −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Isaiah Jones · Middlesbrough |
| 26' | ⚽ | Rav van den Berg · Middlesbrough |
| 37' | ⚽ | Isaiah Jones · Middlesbrough |
| 65' | 🟨 | Brad Potts · Preston |
| 82' | 🟨 | Andrew Hughes · Preston |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alex Bangura · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 423.00 | 727.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1660.73 | 1595.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.20 | 1.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.81 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.50 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| league points | 24.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 38.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -1.29 |
| solidity v1 | -0.11 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 23.73 | 23.10 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.14 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 0.99 |