← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Oct 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 48% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Preston win | 24% | 4.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Hull −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Greg Cunningham · Preston |
| 46' | 🟨 | Jason Lokilo · Hull |
| 55' | 🟨 | Duane Holmes · Preston |
| 59' | 🟨 | Brad Potts · Preston |
| 68' | ⚽ | Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Hull |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jean Michaël Seri · Hull |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kian Best · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | The MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 361.00 | 696.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1626.97 | 1594.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.30 | -37.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | -1.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| league points | 20.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.80 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.23 | -0.95 |
| solidity v1 | 0.22 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.52 | 23.10 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 0.50 |