← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Wed, Oct 25, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Simpson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Preston win | 30% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Southampton +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Will Smallbone · Southampton |
| 33' | ⚽ | Kyle Walker-Peters · Southampton |
| 42' | 🟨 | Benjamin Whiteman · Preston |
| 45' | 🟨 | Gavin Bazunu · Southampton |
| 52' | ⚽ | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
| 55' | ⚽ | Brad Potts · Preston |
| 80' | 🟨 | Liam Millar · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Greg Cunningham · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jan Bednarek · Southampton |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Ched Evans · Southampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 693.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1594.20 | 1653.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.23 | 22.25 |
| eye test v1 | -1.23 | 0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| league points | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 87.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.68 | 1.47 |
| solidity v1 | -0.34 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 23.10 | 24.94 |
| state index | -0.65 | 0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.21 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.68 | 1.73 |