← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Oct 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 63% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.39 |
| Preston win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich −1 | 52% | 1.92 |
| Preston −1 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Ryan Ledson · Preston |
| 18' | ⚽ | Conor Chaplin · Ipswich |
| 22' | 🟨 | Liam Lindsay · Preston |
| 27' | ⚽ | Mads Frøkjær-Jensen · Preston |
| 31' | 🟨 | Alan Browne · Preston |
| 35' | ⚽ | Brandon Williams · Ipswich |
| 45' | ⚽ | Nathan Broadhead · Ipswich |
| 52' | ⚽ | Benjamin Whiteman · Preston |
| 78' | ⚽ | Kayden Jackson · Ipswich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Portman Road |
| coach days | 675.00 | 675.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1741.65 | 1602.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.54 | -15.81 |
| eye test v1 | 1.16 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.78 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.59 |
| league points | 25.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | -1.56 |
| solidity v1 | 0.23 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.33 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.75 | 23.10 |
| state index | 1.11 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.07 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.11 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 0.93 |