← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Sep 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Preston win | 23% | 4.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −0.5 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Stoke −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Ben Pearson · Stoke |
| 25' | 🟨 | Liam Lindsay · Preston |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mads Frøkjær-Jensen · Preston |
| 51' | ⚽ (pen) | Will Keane · Preston |
| 57' | ⚽ | Will Keane · Preston |
| 63' | 🟨 | Enda Stevens · Stoke |
| 63' | 🟨 | Duane Holmes · Preston |
| 67' | 🟨 | Alan Browne · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josh Laurent · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | bet365 Stadium |
| coach days | 397.00 | 640.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1580.01 | 1601.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.13 | 16.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.50 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.57 |
| league points | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | -0.91 |
| solidity v1 | -0.02 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.47 | 23.10 |
| state index | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 0.90 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 0.76 |