← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 47% | 2.09 |
| Preston win | 28% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Sunderland +0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Jordan Storey · Preston |
| 54' | ⚽ | Amad Diallo · Sunderland |
| 61' | ⚽ | Alex Pritchard · Sunderland |
| 65' | ⚽ | Jack Clarke · Sunderland |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ryan Ledson · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 1 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 523.00 | 280.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1585.81 | 1630.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.04 | 21.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 63.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 65.40 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 1.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 23.10 | 23.59 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |