← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 22, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Jones
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 36% | 2.69 |
| Blackburn win | 32% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Blackburn +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 59' | 🟨 | Daniel Johnson · Preston |
| 60' | 🟨 | Sammie Szmodics · Blackburn |
| 80' | ⚽ | Sammie Szmodics · Blackburn |
| 85' | 🟨 | Joe Rankin-Costello · Blackburn |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Dominic Hyam · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 507.00 | 325.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1595.46 | 1599.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.51 | -30.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.07 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| league points | 62.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 65.80 |
| rest days | 2.91 | 2.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 1.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 23.10 | 25.07 |
| state index | 0.25 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | 1.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |