← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Hull win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Hull +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ (pen) | Ozan Tufan · Hull |
| 60' | 🟨 | Lewie Coyle · Hull |
| 72' | 🟨 | Imrân Louza · Watford |
| 79' | 🟨 | Malcolm Ebiowei · Hull |
| 79' | 🟨 | João Pedro · Watford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ryan Woods · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 2 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | — | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | — | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | The MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 172.00 | 52.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1571.98 | 1589.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.85 | -29.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | — |
| league points | 53.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 2.79 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.60 | 25.42 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | 1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 233.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |