← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Robinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.32 |
| Preston win | 21% | 4.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Preston −0.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Tom Bradshaw · Millwall |
| 51' | 🟨 | Benjamin Whiteman · Preston |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jake Cooper · Millwall |
| 72' | ⚽ | Zian Flemming · Millwall |
| 81' | 🟨 | Joshua Onomah · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Den |
| coach days | 1292.00 | 500.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1647.44 | 1619.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.00 | 26.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.75 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 62.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.51 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 24.71 | 23.41 |
| state index | 0.07 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.32 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |