← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 54% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
| Reading win | 18% | 5.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Preston −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Amadou Salif Mbengue · Reading |
| 50' | 🟨 | Naby Sarr · Reading |
| 56' | ⚽ | Thomas Cannon · Preston |
| 64' | 🟨 | Scott Dann · Reading |
| 83' | ⚽ | Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Brad Potts · Preston |
| 90' | ⚽ | Brad Potts · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.57 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 495.00 | 9.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1613.85 | 1511.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.10 | -11.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 59.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.99 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 23.41 | 31.41 |
| state index | 0.63 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |