← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Stroud
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 |
| Watford win | 25% | 3.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Watford −0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | João Pedro · Watford |
| 14' | 🟨 | Kyle McFadzean · Coventry |
| 36' | 🟨 | Hamza Choudhury · Watford |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luke McNally · Coventry |
| 45' | 🟨 | Josh Eccles · Coventry |
| 45' | ⚽ | Imrân Louza · Watford |
| 54' | 🟨 | Ryan Andrews · Watford |
| 58' | ⚽ | Matt Godden · Coventry |
| 59' | 🟨 | Leandro Bacuna · Watford |
| 62' | 🟨 | Imrân Louza · Watford |
| 72' | ⚽ | Ben Sheaf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 23 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| 88' | 🟨 | Wesley Hoedt · Watford |
| coach days | 2231.00 | 40.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1632.29 | 1596.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.38 | -29.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.90 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.72 |
| league points | 58.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.65 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | 1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 116.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |