← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Fri, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Huddersfield win | 19% | 5.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Watford −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Ryan Porteous · Watford |
| 32' | ⚽ | Yáser Asprilla · Watford |
| 44' | ⚽ | Jack Rudoni · Huddersfield |
| 54' | 🟨 | João Pedro · Watford |
| 55' | ⚽ | Matthew Pearson · Huddersfield |
| 60' | 🟨 | David Kasumu · Huddersfield |
| 82' | ⚽ | Kian Harratt · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Bachmann · Watford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Bachmann · Watford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hamza Choudhury · Watford |
| 90' | 🟥 | Daniel Bachmann |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 13 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Vicarage Road |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jonathan Hogg · Huddersfield |
| 90' | ⚽ | Britt Assombalonga · Watford |
| coach days | 37.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1609.19 | 1561.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.22 | 30.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -1.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 42.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| league points | 55.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 54.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 30.40 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | -3.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.88 | 25.36 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | -2.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 241.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |