← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 62% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.12 |
| Preston win | 14% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −1 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Middlesbrough −1 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Chuba Akpom · Middlesbrough |
| 45' | 🟨 | Andrew Hughes · Preston |
| 50' | 🟨 | Zack Steffen · Middlesbrough |
| 52' | ⚽ | Cameron Archer · Middlesbrough |
| 58' | ⚽ | Cameron Archer · Middlesbrough |
| 67' | 🟨 | Álvaro Carreras · Preston |
| 76' | 🟨 | Marcus Forss · Middlesbrough |
| 76' | 🟨 | Bambo Diaby · Preston |
| 78' | 🟨 | Dael Fry · Middlesbrough |
| 88' | 🟨 | Bambo Diaby · Preston |
| 88' | 🟥 | Bambo Diaby |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marc Bola · Middlesbrough |
| 90' | 🟨 | Liam Delap · Preston |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marcus Forss · Middlesbrough |
| coach days | 168.00 | 472.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 1.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1710.95 | 1603.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.26 | 29.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.70 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.50 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.73 |
| league points | 64.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.24 | -0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.46 | 26.35 |
| state index | 0.90 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.06 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |