← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Tue, Mar 14, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 35% | 2.83 |
| Rotherham win | 33% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Rotherham +0 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Hakeem Odofin · Rotherham |
| 23' | ⚽ | Thomas Cannon · Preston |
| 35' | ⚽ | Hakeem Odofin · Rotherham |
| 42' | 🟨 | Chiedozie Ogbene · Rotherham |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ched Evans · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álvaro Carreras · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Brad Potts · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 6 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | AESSEAL New York Stadium |
| coach days | 194.00 | 468.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 1.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1534.89 | 1593.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.66 | 21.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -1.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.10 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 40.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.79 | -0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | — | 24.63 |
| state index | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.06 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |