← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Cardiff win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cardiff +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Jordan Storey · Preston |
| 41' | 🟨 | Mark McGuinness · Cardiff |
| 68' | ⚽ | Thomas Cannon · Preston |
| 89' | 🟨 | Thomas Cannon · Preston |
| 90' | 🟥 | Jak Alnwick · Cardiff |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ched Evans · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 465.00 | 69.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1582.75 | 1535.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.74 | 24.52 |
| eye test v1 | -1.46 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| league points | 47.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.14 | -1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 22.77 | 28.24 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | -0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |