← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R Shoebridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 49% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Watford win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 92.00 | 276.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1516.23 | 1469.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.78 | -25.11 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 49.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.80 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.86 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |