β EFL Championship 2009-10 Β· Tue, Mar 23, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: S Tanner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 54% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Preston win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 173.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.62 | 3.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1552.51 | 1529.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.05 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| league points | 50.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 12.40 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |