← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Dowd
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 50% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Preston win | 24% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 541.00 | 4132.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.03 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1625.89 | 1577.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.48 | 25.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.77 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 80.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.00 |
| state index | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |