β EFL Championship 2008-09 Β· Sat, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: K Stroud
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Preston win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 4125.00 | β |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.01 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1555.49 | 1632.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.95 | 11.21 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 65.00 | 73.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.60 |
| state index | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |