← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sun, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A D'Urso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 39% | 2.37 |
| Birmingham win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 13 |
| 12 | On target | 5 |
| 15 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 3412.00 | 1982.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 3.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1538.37 | 1616.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.57 | 23.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 71.00 | 86.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 10.60 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.58 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |