← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D Gallagher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Plymouth win | 32% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 331.00 | 3404.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1496.24 | 1553.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.91 | -40.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| league points | 61.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |