← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Fri, Mar 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Marriner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 39% | 2.37 |
| Leeds win | 32% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| coach days | — | 3375.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.63 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1439.04 | 1606.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.43 | -15.62 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| league points | 36.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 12.96 | 12.96 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 8.60 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |