← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sat, Mar 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C Webster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 53% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
| Burnley win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 22 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 3362.00 | 1019.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1600.25 | 1443.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.89 | -18.41 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.05 |
| league points | 65.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 16.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.60 |
| state index | 0.21 | -1.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |