β EFL Championship 2005-06 Β· Tue, Mar 28, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: M Thorpe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 58% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Crewe win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| coach days | 3008.00 | β |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1606.50 | 1380.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.41 | 35.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 61.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 2.96 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.20 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |