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Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–2 AEK Larnaca

← UEFA Europa League 2018 · Thu, Oct 4, 04:55 PM UTC · ref: Evgeniy Aranovsky, Ukraine

No odds captured for this game. Our books cover it when its markets open — Kalshi game-winners land every 6 hours, and a fixture that only just entered the spine (like a game added mid-day) picks up prices at the next pull. No strategy bet here either; the executor only bets where it has prices.

Timeline

25'⚽Ivan Tričkovski · AEK Larnaca
41'🟨Mikel González · AEK Larnaca
44'⚽Kai Havertz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen
49'⚽Lucas Alario · Bayer 04 Leverkusen
51'🟨Dominik Kohr · Bayer 04 Leverkusen
52'🟨Nacho Cases · AEK Larnaca
57'🟨Wendell · Bayer 04 Leverkusen
57'🟨Acoran Barrera Reyes · AEK Larnaca
67'🟨Igor Silva · AEK Larnaca
78'🟨Karim Bellarabi · Bayer 04 Leverkusen
79'🟨Aleksandar Dragović · Bayer 04 Leverkusen
86'🟨Sven Bender · Bayer 04 Leverkusen
87'⚽Lucas Alario · Bayer 04 Leverkusen
90'⚽Dimitris Raspas · AEK Larnaca
90'⚽Julian Brandt · Bayer 04 Leverkusen

from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks

The match in numberswhat each side looked like walking in

Pre-match form

What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenAEK Larnaca
accuracy ratio (last 10)0.300.47
accuracy ratio (last 3)0.400.37
accuracy ratio (last 5)0.370.52
box share (last 5)0.61—
cards avg (last 5)1.400.00
coach days582.0095.00
congestion 21d5.001.00
corners volatility (last 10)2.15—
elo1613.241599.23
elo momentum (last 5)
Everything else we hold on this match · 1 more recorded fact — tap to expand
venueBayArena
8.63
26.75
eye test v1-0.110.19
eye trend v10.210.09
first sub minute (last 10)54.3065.40
form points (last 5)9.0010.00
goal diff avg (last 5)-0.201.80
goals against avg (last 5)2.000.40
goals for avg (last 5)1.802.20
goals volatility (last 10)1.161.77
keeper form v10.570.59
matches since blank6.000.00
matches since clean sheet2.001.00
matches since win1.001.00
pass acc avg (last 5)79.00—
possession avg (last 5)46.0047.40
rest days5.1213.91
scorer concentration—0.43
season ppg3.002.00
skill v1-0.04—
sot against avg (last 5)5.404.20
sot for avg (last 10)4.204.13
sot for avg (last 3)4.675.00
sot for avg (last 5)4.005.20
squad age22.87—
state index0.150.76
sterile dominance v1-0.100.51
threat rate (last 10)0.280.17
threat rate (last 3)0.270.23
threat rate (last 5)0.240.17
venue ppg (last 5)1.201.20