← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Jun 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 63% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.12 |
| Lugo win | 14% | 7.16 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Álvaro Giménez · Alcorcon |
| 41' | 🟨 | Ignasi Miquel · Lugo |
| 53' | ⚽ | David Rodriguez · Alcorcon |
| 76' | 🟨 | Álvaro Giménez · Alcorcon |
| 82' | ⚽ | Daniel Toribio · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 252.00 | 344.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 4.04 |
| elo | 1418.41 |
| venue | Santo Domingo |
| 1461.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.22 | 7.17 |
| eye test v1 | -1.15 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.80 |
| league points | 47.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.40 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 6.02 | 7.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.34 |
| skill v1 | -1.62 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |