← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, May 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: David Medie Jimenez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Ucam Murcia win | 30% | 3.29 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟥 | Hugo Álvarez · Ucam Murcia |
| 17' | 🟨 | Iban Salvador · Ucam Murcia |
| 82' | 🟨 | Joselu · Lugo |
| 86' | 🟨 | Tekio · Ucam Murcia |
| 88' | 🟨 | Tito · Ucam Murcia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Biel Ribas · Ucam Murcia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Ucam Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 317.00 | 164.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.27 |
| elo | 1447.06 | 1467.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.94 | -5.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| league points | 52.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 60.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.23 |
| skill v1 | 0.42 | -1.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.47 | 26.82 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.22 | -1.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |