← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Alcorcon win | 32% | 3.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 75' | 🟨 | Antonio Amaya · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 80' | ⚽ | Iván Alejo · Alcorcon |
| 81' | 🟥 | Iván Alejo · Alcorcon |
| 83' | ⚽ | Victor Perez · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 224.00 | 101.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.60 |
| venue | Santo Domingo |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.37 |
| elo | 1415.65 | 1524.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.31 | 19.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.74 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.90 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | — |
| league points | 42.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.24 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.34 | 27.57 |
| state index | -0.82 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |