← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Francisco Manuel Arias Lopez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.96 |
| Ucam Murcia win | 24% | 4.12 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Pere Milla · Ucam Murcia |
| 42' | ⚽ | Dani Calvo · Numancia |
| 62' | 🟨 | Dani Nieto · Numancia |
| 68' | 🟨 | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
| 69' | 🟨 | Hugo Álvarez · Ucam Murcia |
| 76' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Numancia |
| 84' | 🟨 | Juan Góngora · Ucam Murcia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Ucam Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 705.00 | 156.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 3.14 |
| elo | 1432.42 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| 1452.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.34 | 3.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.87 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.10 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.78 |
| league points | 45.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 63.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| skill v1 | -1.20 | -1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | -1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |