← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ucam Murcia win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.96 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 33% | 2.97 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Javi Guerra · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 72' | 🟨 | Unai Albizua · Ucam Murcia |
| 74' | 🟨 | Adrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 78' | 🟨 | Zé Castro · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 136.00 | 74.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.00 |
| venue | Estadio de La Condomina |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 1.90 |
| elo | 1460.82 | 1505.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.04 | 29.20 |
| eye test v1 | -1.47 | -0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.75 |
| league points | 42.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| skill v1 | -2.13 | 0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.23 | 28.89 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | 1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |