← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Mar 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.97 |
| Alcorcon win | 27% | 3.65 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Quique · Almeria |
| 36' | 🟨 | Carlos Bellvis · Alcorcon |
| 39' | 🟨 | José Pozo · Almeria |
| 53' | 🟨 | Joaquín Fernández · Almeria |
| 61' | 🟨 | Iván Alejo · Alcorcon |
| 66' | ⚽ | David Rodriguez · Alcorcon |
| 68' | ⚽ | Quique · Almeria |
| 69' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Alcorcon |
| 70' | 🟨 | Fidel · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Casto · Almeria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Antonio Puertas · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.39 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 24.00 | 175.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 2.01 |
| elo | 1397.25 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| 1429.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.03 | -24.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | -1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.79 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.74 |
| league points | 29.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 6.25 | 6.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.10 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |