← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Mar 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Ruben Eiriz Mata, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 57% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
| Gimnastic win | 16% | 6.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Bruno Perone · Gimnastic |
| 45' | 🟨 | Daisuke Suzuki · Gimnastic |
| 53' | 🟨 | Xavier Molina · Gimnastic |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Juan Villar · Valladolid |
| 74' | ⚽ | Manu Barreiro · Gimnastic |
| 82' | 🟨 | Igor Lichnovsky · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lobato · Gimnastic |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manolo Reina · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 267.00 | 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | José Zorrilla |
| 3.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.63 |
| elo | 1497.08 | 1474.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.15 | -1.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| league points | 45.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.09 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.70 | 27.25 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |