← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Feb 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Gimnastic win | 20% | 4.78 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Ángel Rodríguez · Zaragoza |
| 15' | 🟨 | Iago Bouzon · Gimnastic |
| 24' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Gimnastic |
| 30' | ⚽ | Juan Delgado · Gimnastic |
| 73' | ⚽ | Daisuke Suzuki · Gimnastic |
| 78' | 🟨 | Juan Delgado · Gimnastic |
| 80' | 🟨 | Mohammed Djetei · Gimnastic |
| 86' | 🟨 | Lévy Madinda · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 148.00 | 87.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.23 |
| elo | 1425.01 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| 1391.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.36 | 28.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 32.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.76 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.04 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |