← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Feb 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 47% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Ucam Murcia win | 22% | 4.49 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Vullnet Basha · Ucam Murcia |
| 27' | 🟨 | Corona · Almeria |
| 37' | ⚽ | Ximo Navarro · Almeria |
| 41' | 🟨 | Borja · Almeria |
| 43' | 🟨 | Manuel Sánchez · Ucam Murcia |
| 47' | ⚽ | Fidel · Almeria |
| 54' | ⚽ | Iban Salvador · Ucam Murcia |
| 64' | ⚽ | Tito · Ucam Murcia |
| 77' | 🟨 | Iban Salvador · Ucam Murcia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Juanjo Expósito · Almeria |
| 87' | 🟨 | Antonio Puertas · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Ucam Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.48 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 209.00 | 87.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 3.68 |
| elo | 1397.45 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| 1422.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.97 | 4.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.57 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| league points | 25.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.08 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |