← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Feb 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
| Ucam Murcia win | 24% | 4.02 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Nino · Elche CF |
| 65' | 🟨 | David Morillas · Ucam Murcia |
| 69' | 🟨 | Armando Lozano · Elche CF |
| 69' | 🟨 | Cedric · Ucam Murcia |
| 73' | 🟨 | Iriondo · Elche CF |
| 85' | 🟨 | Juan Collantes · Ucam Murcia |
| 86' | 🟨 | Fabián Ruiz · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pelayo · Elche CF |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Jona · Ucam Murcia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Ucam Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.39 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 592.00 | 73.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 3.53 |
| elo | 1458.45 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| 1436.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.55 | 0.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.88 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 30.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |