← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Feb 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Numancia win | 21% | 4.71 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | David Rodriguez · Alcorcon |
| 31' | ⚽ | Dani Calvo · Numancia |
| 49' | 🟨 | Julio Alvarez · Numancia |
| 49' | ⚽ (pen) | Julio Alvarez · Numancia |
| 74' | 🟨 | Foued Kadir · Alcorcon |
| 81' | ⚽ | Julio Alvarez · Numancia |
| 82' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Numancia |
| 84' | ⚽ (pen) | David Rodriguez · Alcorcon |
| 87' | 🟨 | Nelson · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marko Dmitrović · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aitor Fernández · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 126.00 | 614.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 2.38 |
| elo | 1465.89 |
| venue | Santo Domingo |
| 1450.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.28 | 43.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.94 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 69.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.08 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| league points | 29.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.40 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 6.92 | 6.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.30 |
| skill v1 | -1.37 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| state index | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |